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An Escalating Crisis Between Iran and the West

The price of oil has reached more than eightyintelligence sources, reported that the
dollars a barrel for the first time duringAdministration has concluded that sanctions
the last week. There is a buildup of Britishagainst Iran in the United Nations are dead.
and American forces near the Iranian border.It states that the Bush Administration plans
The Pentagon has announced the building of ato prepare America for war with Iran over the
US base in Iraq near the border with Iran.next several months. The Telegraph reports :
The navel buildup near Iran continues. The" In a chilling scenario of how war might
French Government has escalated its publiccome, a senior intelligence officer warned
rhetoric about a war with Iran. All signsthat public denunciation of Iranian meddling
continue to point to an escalating worldin Iraq - arming and training militants -
crisis  between  the  West  and  Iran.would lead to cross border raids on Iranian
training camps and bomb factories. A prime
Iranian activity concerning Iraq was stronglytarget would be the Fajr base run by the
condemned last week by General Petraeus andIranian Revolutionary Guard Quds Force in
Ambassador to Iraq, Ryan Crocker, in front ofsouthern Iran, where Western intelligence
Congress. General Petraeus spoke of a "proxyagencies say Armour-piercing projectiles used
war" that Iran was fighting in Iraq, whileagainst British and US troops are
Ambassador Crocker accused the Iranianmanufactured. Under the theory - which is
government of "providing lethal capabilitiesgaining credence in Washington security
to the enemies of the Iraqi state"."It iscircles - US action would provoke a major
increasingly apparent," said Petraeus, "thatIranian response, perhaps in the form of
Iran, through the use of the Quds Force,moves to cut off Gulf oil supplies, providing
seeks to turn the Iraqi Special Groups into aa trigger for air strikes against Iran's
Hezbollah-like force to serve its interestsnuclear facilities and even its armed
and fight a proxy war against the Iraqi stateforces."
and coalition forces in Iraq." In an
interview after his appearance before aOver the last several months, public pressure
congressional panel, General Petraeusis growing in the United States for
strongly implied that it would soon bemeaningful troop withdrawals from Iraq. The
necessary to obtain authorization to takeAmerican public is also growing increasingly
action against Iran within its own borders,restless about the lack of progress by the
rather than just inside Iraq. "There is agovernment of Nouri al- Maliki. In a
pretty hard look ongoing at that particularSeptember, 2007 Gallup public opinion poll, a
situation.",  he  said.record 60% say the United States should set a
timetable to withdraw forces and stick to
The only hope to avoid war between Iran andthat timetable regardless of what is going on
the West over Iran's ongoing nuclearin  the  country.
development program appears to be the United
Nations. The Iranian crisis is on theThe remaining time for this Administration to
upcoming United Nations agenda and possiblegovern is beginning to grow short. The start
new sanctions against Iran will be discussedof the 2008 Presidential elections herald the
on  September  21.conclusion of George Bush's term in office.
The prospect of a historic strategic military
However, the option of new sanctions againstmistake by invading Iraq. A humanitarian
Iran appears to be diminishing when onecrisis in the country when our troops
considers this recent report from Fox news :withdraw. A Middle East dominated by an Iran
"Germany - a pivotal player among threewith nuclear weapons. The price of a barrel
European nations to rein in Iran's nuclearof oil throughout the world being held
program over the last two-and-a-half yearshostage by a radical regime in Tehran. These
through a mixture of diplomacy and sanctionsoutcomes are not what George Bush had in mind
supported by the United States - notified itsfor the legacy of his Presidency. He is going
allies last week that the government ofto have to take military action against Iran
Chancellor Angela Merkel refuses to supportbefore he leaves office. It looks like the
the imposition of any further sanctionsbombing of Iran's nuclear facilities may be
against Iran that could be imposed by theonly several months away. This could become a
U.N. Security Council. The announcement wasvery  important  world  event  in early 2008.
made at a meeting in Berlin that brought
German officials together with Iran deskDuring the next several months, the Bush
officers from the five member states of theAdministration will likely change the
Security Council. It stunned the room andconversation in America from the inept Iraqi
left most Bush administration principalsgovernment of Nouri al- Maliki to the dangers
concluding that sanctions are dead." Chinaposed to Iraq and America by the government
and Russia are already opposed to anyof Iran. An escalating crisis between Iran
meaningful  sanctions  concerning  Iraq.and the West will likely make this winter a
long season of conflict.
The British newspaper, The Telegraph, citing



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